黄金科学技术 ›› 2021, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (1): 155-163.doi: 10.11872/j.issn.1005-2518.2021.01.115
Yong SHI(),Xiuzhi SHI(
),Wenzhi DING
摘要:
针对尾矿库安全评价中存在的不确定性问题,以黄金洞尾矿库为例,引入未确知测度理论,分析评价对象与评价指标之间的关系,建立一个包含5个影响因素和18个影响因子的尾矿库综合安全指标评价体系,结合基于层次分析法—熵权法综合确定指标权重,构建基于改进熵权法—未确知测度模型。根据该模型的指标评价体系和分级模式确定指标测度函数,代入各指标实测值,得出多指标综合测度向量,并借助置信度识别准则准确判定尾矿库安全等级和各指标未确知测度重要度。结果表明:黄金洞尾矿库安全等级为Ⅱ级,尾矿库处于较安全状态。经比较,指标测度重要度从大到小为地基沉陷(B3)>洪水漫顶(B1)>安全管理(B4)>坝体溃坝(B2)>自然因素(B5),可知地基沉陷对尾矿库安全影响程度最大,应加强对地基沉陷的管理。基于改进熵权法—未确知测度模型得到的评价结果与实际结果相吻合,为尾矿库安全性评价提供了一种可行的方法。
中图分类号:
Chaurasia R C,Nikkam S,2016.A suitable process for clean coal recovery from tailing pond deposits[J].Energy Sources Part A—Recovery Utilization and Environmental Effects,38(23):3435-3439. | |
Chen Xiangping,2018.Spectral HS projection algorithm for solving nonlinear monotone equations[J].Operations Research Transactions,22(3):15-27. | |
Deng Hongwei,Hu Pulun,Yang Niange,al et,2012.Mining method choice based on empowerment combination TOPSIS[J].Journal of Guangxi University(Natural Science Edition),37(5):990-996. | |
Gao Wei,Zhang Qingpu,Xiaobiao Dun,al et,2016.Comprehensive assessment of advanced military aerospace technologies based on improved EAHP and dynamic weighting[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,38(1):102-109. | |
Guo Jinwei,Pu Xuqiang,Gao Xiang,al et,2014.Improved method on weights determination of indexes in multi-objective decision[J].Journal of Xidian University,41(6):118-125. | |
Jiang Zhou,Huang Yanhua,Liu Fangqiu,al et,2016.Safety evaluation of tailings dams based on extension theory[J].Environmental Engineering,34(7):165-170. | |
Khademi H,Abbaspour A,Martinez S, al et,2018.Provenance and environmental risk of windblown materials from mine tailing ponds,Murcia,Spain[J].Environmental Pollution,241:432-440. | |
Li Fengjuan,Zhang Guang,Liu Mingze,al et,2019.Risk assessment of gold cave tailings reservoir based on variable weight synthesizing weights[J].China Mining Magazine,28(1):115-121. | |
Liang Li,Liu Qi,Li Ming,2017.Dam-break risk assessment model of tailings reservoir based on variable weight synthesis and analytic hierarchy process[J].Journal of Northeastern University (Nature Science),38(12):1790-1794. | |
Rao Yunzhang,Hou Yunbing,Pan Jianping,al et,2003.Study on neural network prediction of wastewater of tailings reservoir of a copper-iron mine[J].Metal Mine,(11):49-51,63. | |
Tan Qinwen,Xin Baoquan,Wan Lu,al et,2018.Risk evaluation indexes and gradation method of major hazard installations for tailings pond[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,14(7):99-106. | |
Wang Shi,Shi Yong,Wang Wanyin,2019.Comprehensive safety evaluation of tailings reservoir based on fuzzy multivariate contact model[J].Gold Science and Technology,27(6):903-911. | |
Wang Ximei,Chen Jianhong,Yang Shan,2018.Study on uncertainty in safety evaluation of tailing ponds based on granular computing[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,14(1):42-48. | |
Wang Xinmin,Wang Shi,Yan Debo,al et,2012.Risk assessment on blocking of filling pipeline based on uncertainty measurement theory[J].China Safety Science Journal,22(4):151-156. | |
Wang Xuan,Wang Yabian,Liu Lichen,al et,2019.Analysis on environmental safety status and discussion on reasonable closure measures for tailings reservoir in Longnan City[J].Gold Science and Technology,27(1):144-152. | |
Wang Yingbo,Wang Lin,Li Zhongxue,2012.Safety evaluation of mine tailings facilities based on HS-BP algorithm[J].Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice,32(11):2585-2590. | |
Wu Deming,Yang Shan,Wang Ximei,2018.An improved evaluation method for safety harmony equation of tailing ponds[J].Gold Science and Technology,26(5):662-668. | |
Xu Zhenkai,Liu Xuan,Wei Bowen,al et,2016.Tailings dam risk fuzzy evaluation model based on the cloud model[J].South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology,14(6):122-127. | |
Yang Yuping,Deng Xingxing,Feng Yan,2014.Optimization of mining method based on uncertainty measurement theory and AHP[J].Journal of Central South University (Science and Technology),45(11):3936-3942. | |
Yu Guangming,Song Chuanwang,Pan Yongzhan,al et,2014.Review of new progress in tailing dam safety in foreign research and current state with development trent in China[J].Chinese Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering,33(Supp.1):3238-3248. | |
陈香萍,2018.谱HS投影算法求解非线性单调方程组[J].运筹学学报,22(3):15-27. | |
邓红卫,胡普仑,杨念哥,等,2012.基于组合赋权TOPSIS的采矿方法优选[J].广西大学学报(自然科学版),37(5):990-996. | |
高炜,张庆普,敦晓彪,等,2016.基于改进的可拓层次分析法和动态加权的航天高技术综合评价研究[J].系统工程与电子技术,38(1):102-109. | |
郭金维,蒲绪强,高祥,等,2014.一种改进的多目标决策指标权重计算方法[J].西安电子科技大学学报,41(6):118-125. | |
姜洲,黄艳华,刘方求,等,2016.基于可拓学的尾矿库安全评价[J].环境工程,34(7):165-170. | |
李凤娟,章光,刘明泽,等,2019.基于变权综合权重的黄金洞尾矿库风险评价[J].中国矿业,28(1):115-121. | |
梁力,刘奇,李明,2017.基于变权综合层次分析法的尾矿库溃坝风险模型[J].东北大学学报(自然科学版),38(12):1790-1794. | |
饶运章,侯运炳,潘建平,等,2003.某铜铁矿尾矿库废水神经网络预测研究[J].金属矿山,(11):49-51,63. | |
谭钦文,辛保泉,万露,等,2018.尾矿库重大危险源风险评价指标及分级方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,14(7):99-106. | |
王石,石勇,王万银,2019.基于模糊多元联系度模型的尾矿库综合安全评价[J].黄金科学技术,27(6):903-911. | |
王喜梅,陈建宏,杨珊,2018.基于粒计算的尾矿库安全评价不确定性研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,14(1):42-48. | |
王新民,王石,鄢德波,等,2012.基于未确知测度理论的充填管道堵塞风险性评价[J].中国安全科学学报,22(4):151-156. | |
王旋,王亚变,刘理臣,等,2019.陇南市尾矿库环境安全现状分析及合理闭库措施探讨[J].黄金科学技术,27(1):144-152. | |
王英博,王琳,李仲学,2012.基于HS-BP算法的尾矿库安全评价[J].系统工程理论与实践,32(11):2585-2590. | |
吴德明,杨珊,王喜梅,2018.一种改进的尾矿库安全和谐度方程评价方法[J].黄金科学技术,26(5):662-668. | |
徐镇凯,刘璇,魏博文,等,2016.基于云模型的尾矿库溃坝风险模糊评价模型[J].南水北调与水利科技,14(6):122-127. | |
阳雨平,邓星星,冯岩,2014.基于未确知测度与层次分析法的采矿方法优选[J].中南大学学报(自然科学版),45(11):3936-3942. | |
于广明,宋传旺,潘永战,等,2014.尾矿坝安全研究的国外新进展及我国的现状和发展态势[J].岩石力学与工程学报,33(增1):3238-3248. |
[1] | 叶光祥,黄智群,王晓军,张树标,苑栋. 基于未确知测度理论的石英脉型钨矿山采空区稳定性评价[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2021, 29(3): 433-439. |
[2] | 高振兴, 郭进平. 基于熵值法—突变理论的尾矿库安全评价研究[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2020, 28(3): 450-456. |
[3] | 代转,罗周全,秦亚光,文磊,丁春胜,董喆喆. 地下金属矿山广义安全管理模型构建及评价[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2019, 27(6): 920-930. |
[4] | 王石,石勇,王万银. 基于模糊多元联系度模型的尾矿库综合安全评价[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2019, 27(6): 903-911. |
[5] | 王旋,王亚变,刘理臣,曹兴,赵立芳,张兆虎. 陇南市尾矿库环境安全现状分析及合理闭库措施探讨[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2019, 27(1): 144-152. |
[6] | 胡建华,高晨,杨春. 重叠矿段采动下的工程响应仿真与评价[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2018, 26(6): 736-743. |
[7] | 吴德明,杨珊,王喜梅. 一种改进的尾矿库安全和谐度方程评价方法[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2018, 26(5): 662-668. |
[8] | 赵立芳,刘佳,张兆虎,王旋,姚莉卫,赵转军. 甘肃省尾矿库环境风险分析及防范措施[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2018, 26(5): 656-661. |
[9] | 赵彬,李小贝,戴兴国,王新民,张德明. 基于变权重理论的边坡稳定性未确知分析[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2016, 24(6): 90-95. |
[10] | 陈建宏,宋灿,邬书良,李迁威. 改进未确知测度理论的隧道塌方风险评估及控制[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2016, 24(6): 64-71. |
[11] | 陈建宏,朱鼎耀,陈轶俊,叶阿明,邱文. 基于PCA-BP神经网络的尾矿库坝体稳定性分析[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2015, 23(5): 47-52. |
[12] | 袁晓,王李管*,刘晓明,彭平安. 基于改进未确知测度理论的矿床开采方式优选[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2015, 23(5): 72-76. |
[13] | 尹土兵,王品,张鸣鲁. 基于AHP及模糊综合评判的地下金属矿山安全分析与评价[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2015, 23(3): 60-66. |
[14] | 陈建宏,曾闵,李涛,江时雨. 基于物元分析—未确知测度理论的地下矿山安全避险“六大系统”可靠性评估方法[J]. 黄金科学技术, 2015, 23(1): 80-84. |
[15] | 迟继松,郭伟,王月伟,邢莹莹. 山东蓬莱矿业选矿厂尾矿堆放及排水方式探讨[J]. J4, 2011, 19(6): 72-74. |
|