黄金科学技术 ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (4): 632-640.doi: 10.11872/j.issn.1005-2518.2022.04.016
Yiling LIU1,2(),Minggui ZHENG1,3()
摘要:
基于已有文献,运用产业结构超前系数、Moore结构变化值、产业结构年均变动值以及产业结构升级高度值构建了反映产业结构升级方向、速率和程度的测算模型,测算了有色金属产业在产量追赶(1986—2001年)、规模快速扩张(2002—2011年)、转型发展(2012—2015年)和高质量发展(2016—2019年)4个阶段的产业结构升级演进情况。研究表明:(1)采选业超前系数在各个阶段逐步降低,冶炼及压延加工业超前系数则逐步上升。(2)有色金属产业在各个阶段的Moore值均接近于1;向量夹角值在前3个阶段呈现下降趋势,升级速度趋缓,第四阶段明显增加;向量夹角年均变化值前3个阶段比较稳定,第四阶段增速较快,远高于前3个阶段;产业结构年均变动值前2个阶段较稳定,第三阶段转型发展增速缓慢,第四阶段供给侧改革后有了新提升并维持在一定的水平。(3)采选业升级高度值在各个阶段有增减变化,处于动态调整状态;冶炼及压延加工业升级高度值保持持续增长趋势,有色金属产业后端升级效果更为显著。
中图分类号:
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